Closing strong

Rasmussen has a new survey up and it has all kinds of good news for the Democrats.

In October, just 31.5% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s a startling decline of nearly six percentage points from 37.2% two years ago. It’s also down nearly a full point from last month.
Democrats have also lost a little ground since October 2004. Today, 37.7% identify themselves as Democrats, down a point from 38.7% on the eve of Election 2004.

However, Democrats now have a 6.2 percentage point advantage over the GOP, their largest recorded over the past 34 months. In October 2004, the Democrats advantage was a miniscule 1.5 percentage points.

These results are based upon tracking surveys of 15,000 adults per month. The margin of sampling error is less than one percentage point, with a 95% level of confidence. Please keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not Likely Voters. Republicans typically do a bit better among Likely Voters (in fact, the two parties ended up even among those who showed up to vote in 2004).

It’s worth noting that the three best months for the Democrats have been the last three. They enjoyed a 5.3 point advantage in August and a 4.8 point advantage in September. Other than that, their advantage has not topped the 4.0 mark since January 2004.

This is about Iraq, Katrina, the corruption scandals, a compete abandonment of fiscal responsibility, and most of all, Bush. With his approval rating mired in the mid to high 30’s, the President is radioactive. And God knows, the man has earned it.